apagartanis's blog

Leicester-Leeds

The 8 out of 10 most expected exact scores contain more than 3 goals. The most popular is a 3-1 home win, followed by a 2-1 win on either side. Exact scores like 3-2, 1-3 or 2-3 are among the favourite outcomes. The only “under 2,5 goals” score present in first eight is a 2-0 Leicester win. Twitter punters don’t agree with Leicester favouritism, giving the home side only 49% of winning the tie and a greedy 36% for Leeds United. A high scoring match is ecpected, a combo bet on “Both Teams To Score” and “Over 2,5 goals” seems favourable.

Newcastle – Brighton

Leeds – Tottenham

Leeds has a decent 47% in overall sentiment, roughly equal to Tottenham’s 50%. Spurs are a clear favourite, according to the bookmaker’s odds sets. This is a third away match in a row for the Spurs, who travelled from zenith to nadir last week. After their impressive win over leaders Manchester City, they lost to struggling Burnley. Leeds comes from a series of 5 match without win. If you take a look at exact scores, only one of top six is not a “Both Teams to Score” prediction. We rather expect goals from both sides.

Brentford – Newcastle

Watford-Crystal Palace

Seems like bookmakers have been impressed by Watford's unexpected away win vs. Aston Villa more than fans and punters. The Hornets had luck by their side on Saturday, as they grabbed all three points even though they didn't dominate the tie. The 3-way odds sets give them roughly equal chances of winning the match tonight. But the overall Sentibet sentiment gives the away side a large 62%, and the "prediction" feeling even more (64%). It's worthy to take Crystal Palace to win on a dnb bet, so in case of a draw the stake is returned.

It's been a fancy weekend, with some really unpredictable results, but Sentibet managed once more to hit an remarkable 60% of winning predictions.

Two out of three matches where the bookmaker's favourite wasn't predicted as such by SBF (Sentibet Feeling) were winning ones. SBF predicted both Newcastle away draw vs. West Ham (1-1) and Burnley's win over bookies favourite Brighton (3-0). The only loss was a narrow one, Wovles managed to win 2-1 over Leicester, although the visiting side dominated possession (67%) and had double shots on goal.

Leeds-Manchester Utd.

There’s an overwhealming sentiment about both teams scoring in this one and the total goals line will be over 2,5. The “Exact Score” bars show top five percentages at 1-5, 1, 2 1-1, 2-1 and 1-3. More than 2,5 goals are expected along with a convincing Manchester United win. Combining all these could lead to remarkable odds. We should try the combo bet Over 2,5 goals & Both Teams To Score.

Aston Villa – Watford

There’s a tremendous overall confidence in Villa win. Apart from “wish”, which is obvious, both the “prediction” sentiment stands at 90% and the “feeling” sentiment is unanimous (100%). Bookmakers’ odds sets also favour Aston Villa, but around 65% confidence (average home win odds around 1,70). Worthy to take Villa to win with such a percentage difference.

Brighton – Burnley

Sentibet hit a remarkable 80% at its overall forecasting on last weekend’s Premier League matches plus the Tuesday night tie Manchester United vs. Brighton. To be more precise, only in both “Red Devils” matches the result was other than predicted.

Tottenham-Wolves

Brentford – Crystal Palace
Total concesus here for Palace. An “overall” winning sentiment of 42%, which is nearly same when it comes to “prediction” (40%) and somewhat increasing at “feeling” (50%). Palace comes from a bitter 1-1 away draw vs. struggling Norwich, but deserved a lot more. That’s why the majority of punters predict that they’re closer to win that shown in the odds set. A dnb (draw no bet) choice is rather safe here, as when the match ends in a draw the stake is returned.

Norwich-Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace is considered a big favourite in this one, with over 60% overall winning percentage. But we shouldn’t underestimate that this is a do-or-die tie for the Canaries. Palace has won their home match in London back in November by a clear 3-0 and most tweets expect an over2,5 goal match too for tonight’s match. We could place a bet on that, as some high scoring exact goals matches (i.e. 2-1, 0-3, 1-2) are among the top five which are highly recommended.

Aston Villa-Leeds